• 00z GFS Model Depicts Inland SnowStorm on Thanksgiving Possibly Affecting Travel If Correct

    00z GFS Model Depicts Inland SnowStorm on Thanksgiving Possibly Affecting Travel If Correct

    The new 00z GFS is showing a better formed coastal low pressure system next Wednesday into Thursday. This is significant because two out of the last three model runs are showing this possibility. If you correct the bias of tracking storms too far off the east coast then we really need to be concerned about this possibility for the middle […]

  • Euro - 168 hours

    Thanksgiving Day Snowstorm Is It Possible

    I am closely watching a coastal low pressure that COULD form into the first snow event for the Mid-South and Middle Atlantic areas. Before I examine the models and explain what they are showing you must remember that we still have a high amount of uncertainty for this system. Now with that said, I will also say that the confidence […]

  • Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino

    Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino

    El Nino has finally arrived and this is going to cause some big changes as we are already seeing occur. The SST (Sea Surface Temps) anomalies are building in a positive manner and if you look at the current map you will clearly see the weak El Nino that has recently developed. Current indications are this will be a moderately […]

  • Model Mayhem Continues During Pattern Change

    Model Mayhem Continues During Pattern Change

    First of all, let me say that we are in a period of model mayhem. What that means is that the models do not recognize the pattern and therefore try to adjust the best they know how. So let’s forget the weather models outside of say 144 hours as this is the time when they lose resolution and therefore are […]

  • Weather App Now Available For Android and Coming for Apple

    Weather App Now Available For Android and Coming for Apple

    The new NC Piedmont Weather App now available for Android devices at the below link.  Waiting approval at the Apple Store which could take up to 14 days and will let everyone know once it is ready. Included in this app is real-time alerts provided by the National Weather Service. Since Facebook limits my post reach the app is the […]

  • Winter Forecast Final Outlook 2014-2015

    Winter Forecast Final Outlook 2014-2015

    NC Piedmont Weathers Official Winter Forecast December 2014- March 2015 Basic Version This is NC Piedmont Weathers official 2014-2015 winter forecast and it will be broken down into two categories for two different audiences. The Basic Version will contain the most basic information and is able to be read and understood by anyone on what to expect for this coming winter. […]

News

00z GFS Model Depicts Inland SnowStorm on Thanksgiving Possibly Affecting Travel If Correct
by / on November 22, 2014 at 12:44 AM

00z GFS Model Depicts Inland SnowStorm on Thanksgiving Possibly Affecting Travel If Correct

The new 00z GFS is showing a better formed coastal low pressure system next Wednesday into Thursday. This is significant because two out of the last three model runs are showing this possibility. If you correct the bias of tracking storms too far off the east coast then we really need to be concerned about this possibility for the middle […]

Read more ›
Euro - 168 hours
by / on November 21, 2014 at 5:02 PM

Thanksgiving Day Snowstorm Is It Possible

I am closely watching a coastal low pressure that COULD form into the first snow event for the Mid-South and Middle Atlantic areas. Before I examine the models and explain what they are showing you must remember that we still have a high amount of uncertainty for this system. Now with that said, I will also say that the confidence […]

Read more ›
Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino
by / on November 20, 2014 at 4:42 PM

Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino

El Nino has finally arrived and this is going to cause some big changes as we are already seeing occur. The SST (Sea Surface Temps) anomalies are building in a positive manner and if you look at the current map you will clearly see the weak El Nino that has recently developed. Current indications are this will be a moderately […]

Read more ›
Model Mayhem Continues During Pattern Change
by / on November 20, 2014 at 12:16 PM

Model Mayhem Continues During Pattern Change

First of all, let me say that we are in a period of model mayhem. What that means is that the models do not recognize the pattern and therefore try to adjust the best they know how. So let’s forget the weather models outside of say 144 hours as this is the time when they lose resolution and therefore are […]

Read more ›
Reloading Pattern Shows Cold Wet Winter For NC
by / on November 17, 2014 at 4:52 PM

Reloading Pattern Shows Cold Wet Winter For NC

As we move closer to Thanksgiving and while I am pretty sure we will see 1-2 more storms by that time the one closer to Thanksgiving is not clear yet.  The reason is that more arctic air comes plunging in from the north and could cause some precipitation type issues but as of now just keep that thought in the […]

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Snow Map Final Call For November 17-18 Event
by / on November 17, 2014 at 3:57 PM

Snow Map Final Call For November 17-18 Event

The models were horrible with this current system and moved some 75 miles further NW the last 3 model runs before the event occurred.  I surely hope this is not how sporadic these models will be over the next 3 months because if so I will be pulling out my hair.  The new GFS model did the best even outperforming […]

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Tornadoes Possible Eastern NC With Snow In Western NC
by / on November 17, 2014 at 10:43 AM

Tornadoes Possible Eastern NC With Snow In Western NC

A very unstable air-mass is present in the eastern parts of NC and with such a remarkably cold plunge of air this will present the problem of some tornadoes in the eastern areas today.  This is one of those situations that can become volatile in a moments time so please take the necessary precautions and turn on you weather radios […]

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Snowfall Map First Call For Next System Then Brief Warmup
by / on November 16, 2014 at 4:49 PM

Snowfall Map First Call For Next System Then Brief Warmup

The weather models seem to have trended more northwest over the past few runs on the system that at one time seemed to have held the chance for some snow flurries in the Piedmont.  I have monitored this trend and while it appears there is still around a 20% chance of some snow flurries on the back side of this […]

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