• Snowfall First Call Map For Pre-Thanksgiving Storm

    Snowfall First Call Map For Pre-Thanksgiving Storm

    This is my first call snow map for the system coming through on Wednesday through Thursday. I have given this careful consideration and used the SREF ensembles as well as the European and GFS models as these appear to be more in line with what is actually happening in the atmosphere at the moment and they did well with this […]

  • Snowfall Accumulation Map Coming Next Update

    Snowfall Accumulation Map Coming Next Update

    Well it appears the weather models are pretty clear on the snowfall threat that is approaching. While I think many areas west of I-95 will see snow what is not clear still yet is how much will accumulate. I have put much time and research into this event over the past week and to see it coming together like I […]

  • Moderate Snowfall Accumulations For Parts Of NC

    Moderate Snowfall Accumulations For Parts Of NC

    While we are now within about 60-72 hours before the next major precipitation event occurs it is now looking likely that parts of NC will see some moderate snowfall accumulations. What is becoming more clear is that the mountains will see heavy snow accumulations but the western and central parts of NC look to see rain going over to a […]

  • Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino

    Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino

    El Nino has finally arrived and this is going to cause some big changes as we are already seeing occur. The SST (Sea Surface Temps) anomalies are building in a positive manner and if you look at the current map you will clearly see the weak El Nino that has recently developed. Current indications are this will be a moderately […]

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Snowfall First Call Map For Pre-Thanksgiving Storm
by / on November 24, 2014 at 1:23 PM

Snowfall First Call Map For Pre-Thanksgiving Storm

This is my first call snow map for the system coming through on Wednesday through Thursday. I have given this careful consideration and used the SREF ensembles as well as the European and GFS models as these appear to be more in line with what is actually happening in the atmosphere at the moment and they did well with this […]

Read more ›
Snowfall Accumulation Map Coming Next Update
by / on November 24, 2014 at 11:31 AM

Snowfall Accumulation Map Coming Next Update

Well it appears the weather models are pretty clear on the snowfall threat that is approaching. While I think many areas west of I-95 will see snow what is not clear still yet is how much will accumulate. I have put much time and research into this event over the past week and to see it coming together like I […]

Read more ›
Moderate Snowfall Accumulations For Parts Of NC
by / on November 24, 2014 at 12:38 AM

Moderate Snowfall Accumulations For Parts Of NC

While we are now within about 60-72 hours before the next major precipitation event occurs it is now looking likely that parts of NC will see some moderate snowfall accumulations. What is becoming more clear is that the mountains will see heavy snow accumulations but the western and central parts of NC look to see rain going over to a […]

Read more ›
Pre-Thanksgiving Snow Threat Latest Details
by / on November 23, 2014 at 6:01 AM

Pre-Thanksgiving Snow Threat Latest Details

The latest model set is showing more agreement about a snow event in parts of NC next Wednesday. This is still not a done deal but the global weather models to include the GFS, European and UKMET are in agreement on this occurring. It must also be mentioned that the upgraded GFS is not calling for any snow anywhere which […]

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PRE-THANKSGIVING SNOWSTORM UPDATE
by / on November 22, 2014 at 9:25 PM

PRE-THANKSGIVING SNOWSTORM UPDATE

Been a long day and not only in the weather department.  I have been monitoring the latest model runs and using past patterns to try and understand what will happen next Wednesday. Although it is not crystal clear and never is even sometimes until the night before, I am going to try and break down what I expect to happen and […]

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00z GFS Model Depicts Inland SnowStorm on Thanksgiving Possibly Affecting Travel If Correct
by / on November 22, 2014 at 12:44 AM

00z GFS Model Depicts Inland SnowStorm on Thanksgiving Possibly Affecting Travel If Correct

The new 00z GFS is showing a better formed coastal low pressure system next Wednesday into Thursday. This is significant because two out of the last three model runs are showing this possibility. If you correct the bias of tracking storms too far off the east coast then we really need to be concerned about this possibility for the middle […]

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Euro - 168 hours
by / on November 21, 2014 at 5:02 PM

Thanksgiving Day Snowstorm Is It Possible

I am closely watching a coastal low pressure that COULD form into the first snow event for the Mid-South and Middle Atlantic areas. Before I examine the models and explain what they are showing you must remember that we still have a high amount of uncertainty for this system. Now with that said, I will also say that the confidence […]

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Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino
by / on November 20, 2014 at 4:42 PM

Snow Chances Will Increase In Southeast With El Nino

El Nino has finally arrived and this is going to cause some big changes as we are already seeing occur. The SST (Sea Surface Temps) anomalies are building in a positive manner and if you look at the current map you will clearly see the weak El Nino that has recently developed. Current indications are this will be a moderately […]

Read more ›